Should I buy Intermediate Capital stock in 2025?
Is it the right time to buy Intermediate Capital?
ScoreIntermediate Capital Group plc (ICG) currently trades at approximately 1,957 GBX per share on the London Stock Exchange, with an average daily volume of 1.33 million shares as of July 2025. The company stands out as a leading European alternative asset manager, specialising in private debt, structured credit, and mid-market corporate finance solutions. In the past year, ICG has navigated challenging market conditions with commendable poise; despite modest pressure on margins and a slight dip in annual net profit, the group managed to exceed both revenue and earnings per share forecasts. Notably, ICG achieved a record $17 billion fundraise for its latest senior debt fund and reported robust AUM growth, now reaching $112 billion. Market sentiment remains constructive, anchored by ICG's proven capacity for geographic expansion and product diversification. Analyst consensus—based on input from over 13 national and international banks—places the target price at 2,500 GBX, a level reflecting continued confidence in the company's fundamentals and growth strategy. Within the broader financial services sector, ICG’s strong dividend yield and disciplined leadership further support its investment appeal at current levels.
- ✅Market-leading AUM growth: 17% annualised over five years.
- ✅Attractive 4.3% dividend yield, above sector average.
- ✅Consistent outperformance versus revenue and EPS forecasts.
- ✅Demonstrated fundraising strength in private debt and alternatives.
- ✅Respected, stable management team recognised for industry leadership.
- ❌Relatively high beta of 1.80, indicating above-market volatility.
- ❌Recent margin compression from 52% to 48% requires monitoring.
Score- ✅Market-leading AUM growth: 17% annualised over five years.
- ✅Attractive 4.3% dividend yield, above sector average.
- ✅Consistent outperformance versus revenue and EPS forecasts.
- ✅Demonstrated fundraising strength in private debt and alternatives.
- ✅Respected, stable management team recognised for industry leadership.
Is it the right time to buy Intermediate Capital?
- ✅Market-leading AUM growth: 17% annualised over five years.
- ✅Attractive 4.3% dividend yield, above sector average.
- ✅Consistent outperformance versus revenue and EPS forecasts.
- ✅Demonstrated fundraising strength in private debt and alternatives.
- ✅Respected, stable management team recognised for industry leadership.
- ❌Relatively high beta of 1.80, indicating above-market volatility.
- ❌Recent margin compression from 52% to 48% requires monitoring.
Score- ✅Market-leading AUM growth: 17% annualised over five years.
- ✅Attractive 4.3% dividend yield, above sector average.
- ✅Consistent outperformance versus revenue and EPS forecasts.
- ✅Demonstrated fundraising strength in private debt and alternatives.
- ✅Respected, stable management team recognised for industry leadership.
- What is Intermediate Capital?
- The Intermediate Capital Stock Price
- Our Full Analysis of the Intermediate Capital Stock
- How to buy Intermediate Capital stock in the United Kingdom?
- Our 7 tips for buying Intermediate Capital stock
- The latest news about Intermediate Capital
- FAQ
Why trust HelloSafe ?
At HelloSafe, our specialist has been tracking the performance of Intermediate Capital for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in the UK trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, paid by Intermediate Capital.
What is Intermediate Capital?
| Indicator | Value | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Nationality | United Kingdom | UK-based group with strong global reach in alternative asset management sectors. |
| 💼 Market | London Stock Exchange (LSE: ICP) | Shares traded on the main UK market, providing high liquidity and visibility for investors. |
| 🏛️ ISIN code | GB00BYT1DJ19 | Unique security code for all domestic and international transactions. |
| 👤 CEO | Benoît Durteste | At the helm since 2017, recognised as a leading figure in global private markets. |
| 🏢 Market cap | £5.44 billion | The market values Intermediate Capital as a major player among European asset managers. |
| 📈 Revenue | £931.9 million (2025) | Revenue increased by 3% year-on-year, signalling continued business expansion. |
| 💹 EBITDA | Not specified (Net profit: £451.2 million) | Net profit remains strong, though recent pressures on margins are worth continued monitoring. |
| 📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings) | 12.71 | Attractive valuation, well below sector highs, providing upside potential as growth continues. |
The Intermediate Capital Stock Price
The price of Intermediate Capital stock is rising this week. It is currently trading at 1,957 GBX, up 1.72% over 24 hours, but has slipped 1.66% in the past week. The company’s market capitalisation stands at £5.44 billion, with an average three-month daily volume of 1.33 million shares. The P/E Ratio is 12.71, dividend yield is 4.3%, and the stock has a beta of 1.80. With this higher volatility, Intermediate Capital may offer active investors both opportunity and risk in today’s evolving market environment.
Our Full Analysis of the Intermediate Capital Stock
Having reviewed Intermediate Capital’s latest financial results and examined its stock performance over the past three years, our team employed proprietary algorithms to integrate multiple sources—fundamental indicators, technical signals, market data, and peer benchmarking. This comprehensive approach allows us to evaluate where value and upside potential may lie for investors in the alternative asset management sector. So, why might Intermediate Capital stock once again become a strategic entry point into the fast-evolving global financial services market in 2025?
Recent performance and market context
Intermediate Capital’s share price currently stands at 1,957 GBX on the London Stock Exchange, registering a moderate intraday increase of 1.72% despite a slight 1.66% slip over the past week and a 10.56% drop over twelve months. The company’s market capitalisation amounts to £5.44 billion, underlining its place among the UK’s most robust asset managers. Importantly, recent events—including a record $17 billion private debt fund raise and the successful closure of the €3 billion Mid-Market Fund II—highlight ICG’s ability to attract substantial capital amid evolving economic cycles. These achievements reinforce the company’s status in specialist lending and alternative assets, while the sector at large is buoyed by a global search for yield, institutional asset reallocation, and buoyant private capital inflows.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators reflect a constructive backdrop for Intermediate Capital. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 47.08, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold and may be poised for directional movement. Momentum oscillators reinforce this view, with a notably positive MACD of +4.95 and ADX at 12.98—both aligning as “buy” signals. The Williams %R sits at -60.43, tilting bullish, even as short- and medium-term moving averages provide mixed conclusions (the 20-day and 100/200-day averages currently signalling ‘sell,’ while the 50-day indicates ‘buy’). Notably, support around 1,917 GBX and initial resistance at 1,925 GBX set up a tight technical staging ground, while a longer-term resistance at 1,998 GBX presents the next milestone. As investor sentiment consolidates near current levels, and mixed technical signals gradually resolve, the prospect of a bullish reversal appears well-founded—especially given the stock’s attractive valuation and evolving positive catalysts.
Fundamental analysis
Intermediate Capital stands out with an enviable business model and robust fundamental profile. For the period ending March 2025, revenue reached £931.9 million, up 3% year-on-year and exceeding consensus by 8.2%, while net profit remained impressive at £451.2 million. Although the net margin eased from 52% to 48%, these levels remain among the highest in the sector, reflecting disciplined management amid competitive and macro pressures. The company’s price/earnings ratio of 12.71 is meaningfully below sector averages, underscoring compelling relative value and new scope for a re-rating as growth persists. Shareholders also benefit from a healthy 4.3% dividend yield, backed by a multi-year record of dividend stability and growth.
- £112 billion in assets under management (AUM), with a 17% 5-year annualised growth
- £70 billion in fee-generating AUM—up 11% versus 2023
- A global footprint across Europe, North America, and Asia-Pacific
- An expert leadership team, with CEO Benoît Durteste recognised for seven consecutive years as a top industry influencer
Furthermore, ICG regularly exceeds market expectations, beating earnings per share forecasts by 14% in the latest financial period. This signals operational agility and an effective capital allocation strategy, amplified by prudent expense control and client-focused product innovation.
Volume and liquidity
The stock’s average 3-month daily trading volume of 1.33 million shares demonstrates strong, sustained investor interest and market depth. This liquidity not only encourages dynamic valuation responses to positive news but also helps buffer the stock against abrupt price swings during less active periods. Its well-dispersed free float guarantees price transparency, encourages institutional participation, and enhances the tactical opportunities for both active and long-term investors.
Catalysts and positive outlook
- Ongoing global demand for alternative assets: ICG’s segment focus (private debt, private equity, and flexible capital solutions) directly matches high-growth, resilient markets
- Record capital raising: New historic inflows into private debt strategies position ICG as a lender of choice for mid-market firms
- Strong pipeline and client base: The Mid-Market Fund II closure and growing team underpin future revenue and AUM growth
- Progressive ESG initiatives: Sustainability commitments, ethical investing, and risk management increasingly attract institutional capital
- Expected revenue and EPS growth: Market consensus forecasts an 8.1% annual revenue and 6.9% EPS increase over the next three years
- Technological innovation: Adoption of digital platforms for investment monitoring and reporting enhances operational efficiency
The combination of strong earnings visibility, a broad and growing geographic base, and continued product diversification places ICG in the vanguard of European asset managers able to capture industry-wide shifts. In addition, sector tailwinds—like regulations favouring private credit and client migration toward higher-yield solutions—add to the company’s near- and medium-term momentum.
Investment strategies
- Short-term: Current price consolidation around support (1,917 GBX) offers a tactical entry point, with near-term catalysts including upcoming dividend distributions and the November 2025 results
- Medium-term: As AUM inflows from recent fund launches and diversified strategies start to crystallise into reported earnings, share price appreciation potential increases
- Long-term: Strong compound growth in fee-generating assets, scale-driven profitability, and sector leadership position ICG as a core holding for those seeking exposure to the alternatives segment and the growth of private markets
The company’s above-average beta (1.80) signals higher volatility, which can be an advantage for disciplined investors targeting premium returns while actively managing risk. The current valuation, well below historical sector highs, also amplifies the attraction for new and returning capital.
Is it the right time to buy Intermediate Capital?
Intermediate Capital presents a robust and multidimensional investment profile in today’s market. Its strong brand, proven leadership, consistent revenue growth, and powerful asset accumulation record are accompanied by technical indicators now offering greater tactical and trend-following appeal. The stock’s compelling relative valuation and well-supported yield further support renewed investor interest at these levels. Taken together, these elements suggest that Intermediate Capital may be entering a new bullish phase, reflecting a convergence of structural progress and market opportunity.
Backed by sectoral tailwinds, record capital inflows, and clear operational strengths, Intermediate Capital seems to represent an excellent opportunity for those seeking diversified exposure to next-generation finance. Investors would do well to keep a close eye on key technical levels (notably 1,917 GBX as support and 1,998 GBX as resistance) and upcoming corporate events, as the company’s next phase of growth and innovation unfolds.
How to buy Intermediate Capital stock in the United Kingdom?
Buying Intermediate Capital stock online is simple and secure when using a regulated UK broker. Investors generally choose between buying shares directly (spot buying) or through Contracts for Difference (CFDs), each with its own features and fees. Understanding both methods is important for making the right choice for your portfolio. For a thorough overview, a broker comparison can be found further down this page.
Spot buying
A cash purchase involves buying real Intermediate Capital shares listed on the London Stock Exchange in your name. Most UK brokers charge a fixed commission per trade, typically between £5 and £10, making costs predictable for frequent investors.
Gain scenario
For example: If the Intermediate Capital share price is $25, you can buy around 39 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.
If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.
Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.
Trading via CFD
CFD trading lets you benefit from price moves in Intermediate Capital without owning real shares. With CFDs, you pay a spread (the broker’s buy/sell difference) plus overnight financing fees for positions held more than a day. Leverage can boost both potential gains and risks.
CFD Gain Scenario Example
Example: You open a CFD position on Intermediate Capital shares with 5x leverage and a $1,000 starting stake. This gives you $5,000 of market exposure.
Gain scenario: If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).
Final advice
Always compare each broker’s fees, spreads, and platform tools with the comparison tool lower on this page before investing. Your choice between cash shares and CFDs depends on your investment objectives, desired risk level, and trading style.
Compare the best brokers in the UK!Compare brokersOur 7 tips for buying Intermediate Capital stock
| 📊 Step | 📝 Specific tip for Intermediate Capital |
|---|---|
| Analyze the market | Examine Intermediate Capital’s recent results, sector health, and performance compared to peer asset managers. |
| Choose the right trading platform | Use a FCA-regulated UK broker offering London Stock Exchange access and competitive fees for Intermediate Capital trades. |
| Define your investment budget | Decide on an amount that fits your wider portfolio, as Intermediate Capital can be quite volatile. |
| Choose a strategy (short or long term) | Opt for a long-term approach to benefit from Intermediate Capital’s dividend growth and alternative assets focus. |
| Monitor news and financial results | Track quarterly publications, dividend updates, and new fund launches that impact Intermediate Capital’s valuation. |
| Use risk management tools | Apply stop-loss orders and consider portfolio diversification against Intermediate Capital’s higher beta. |
| Sell at the right time | Review analyst price targets and consider selling during periods of technical peaks or major positive news. |
The latest news about Intermediate Capital
Intermediate Capital delivered solid revenue and earnings above market expectations for the 2025 financial year. The company posted revenue of £931.9 million, exceeding analyst consensus by 8.2%, and delivered earnings per share 14% above previous forecasts, highlighting resilient operating momentum despite challenging market conditions.
Assets under management at Intermediate Capital reached a record, strengthening its UK and global platform. Total AUM climbed to $112 billion, with £70 billion generating fees and an annualised five-year growth rate of 17%. This strong performance reflects robust client demand, particularly within the UK’s alternative asset sector.
Technical market signals for Intermediate Capital show renewed investor interest, with key trend indicators turning positive. Despite neutral momentum from the RSI, the MACD, ADX, and Williams %R all issued buy signals this week, suggesting building upward pressure on the stock price that is relevant for UK-based market watchers.
Intermediate Capital remains well-regarded in the UK analyst community, maintaining a buy consensus outlook. Among thirteen covering analysts in London, five rate the shares Buy and six Outperform, with a median price target of 2,500 GBX—almost 30% above the current price—indicating positive sentiment among UK professionals.
The upcoming dividend payment underscores Intermediate Capital’s continued appeal to British income investors. On 1 August 2025, shareholders will receive a dividend of 56.70 pence per share, reflecting an attractive yield of 4.30% and reinforcing the company’s commitment to rewarding local investors amid market volatility.
FAQ
What is the latest dividend for Intermediate Capital stock?
Intermediate Capital currently pays a dividend. The latest announced dividend is 56.70 pence per share, with the payment set for 1 August 2025. This dividend corresponds to an attractive yield, and reflects the company’s long-standing policy of rewarding shareholders through regular distributions. Intermediate Capital has a track record of consistent dividend payments, underscoring its commitment to investor returns.
What is the forecast for Intermediate Capital stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the most recent price of 1,957 GBX, the projected levels are 2,544 GBX for end-2025, 2,935 GBX for end-2026, and 3,914 GBX for end-2027. These solid projections reflect resilient growth in the alternative asset management sector and the company’s ongoing expansion in private debt and infrastructure, with analyst sentiment remaining positive.
Should I sell my Intermediate Capital shares?
Holding onto Intermediate Capital shares may be appropriate for investors who value its robust fundamentals and sector positioning. The company demonstrates solid profitability, a healthy dividend, and ongoing strategic growth. Its resilient performance and positive analyst outlook suggest Intermediate Capital still offers significant mid- to long-term potential, supported by a favourable market environment.
Is Intermediate Capital stock eligible for an ISA, and how are dividends and gains taxed in the UK?
Intermediate Capital shares are fully eligible for a Stocks & Shares ISA, enabling UK investors to enjoy tax-free dividends and capital gains on ISA-held shares. For non-ISA holdings, dividends above the current annual allowance are taxable, and gains may be subject to capital gains tax depending on individual thresholds. This makes ISAs a tax-efficient option for holding Intermediate Capital shares.
What is the latest dividend for Intermediate Capital stock?
Intermediate Capital currently pays a dividend. The latest announced dividend is 56.70 pence per share, with the payment set for 1 August 2025. This dividend corresponds to an attractive yield, and reflects the company’s long-standing policy of rewarding shareholders through regular distributions. Intermediate Capital has a track record of consistent dividend payments, underscoring its commitment to investor returns.
What is the forecast for Intermediate Capital stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the most recent price of 1,957 GBX, the projected levels are 2,544 GBX for end-2025, 2,935 GBX for end-2026, and 3,914 GBX for end-2027. These solid projections reflect resilient growth in the alternative asset management sector and the company’s ongoing expansion in private debt and infrastructure, with analyst sentiment remaining positive.
Should I sell my Intermediate Capital shares?
Holding onto Intermediate Capital shares may be appropriate for investors who value its robust fundamentals and sector positioning. The company demonstrates solid profitability, a healthy dividend, and ongoing strategic growth. Its resilient performance and positive analyst outlook suggest Intermediate Capital still offers significant mid- to long-term potential, supported by a favourable market environment.
Is Intermediate Capital stock eligible for an ISA, and how are dividends and gains taxed in the UK?
Intermediate Capital shares are fully eligible for a Stocks & Shares ISA, enabling UK investors to enjoy tax-free dividends and capital gains on ISA-held shares. For non-ISA holdings, dividends above the current annual allowance are taxable, and gains may be subject to capital gains tax depending on individual thresholds. This makes ISAs a tax-efficient option for holding Intermediate Capital shares.
