Should I Buy Mondi Shares in the United Kingdom in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the Mondi share price for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in the UK trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and never will be, compensated by Mondi.

What is Mondi?

The Mondi stock price

The price of Mondi stock is rising this week. Currently trading at 1,238.50 GBp, the stock is up 5.50 GBp (+0.45%) over the past 24 hours and has gained 2.78% in the last week. Mondi has a market capitalisation of £5.45 billion and an average three-month trading volume of 1.11 million shares. Its P/E Ratio stands at 29.22, offers a dividend yield of 4.84%, and has a beta of 0.73, indicating relatively low market volatility. Recent positive momentum suggests potential opportunities for investors looking for exposure in sustainable packaging and paper solutions.

Our full analysis of Mondi stock

We have reviewed Mondi’s most recent financial results as well as its share price evolution across the last three years. Our proprietary algorithms incorporate a rich blend of financial indicators, technical signals, market conditions, and peer comparisons to create a robust assessment framework. So, why might Mondi stock once again become a strategic entry point into the sustainable packaging and paper sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Mondi’s share price currently stands at 1,238.50 GBp, reflecting a steady rebound in 2025: the stock is up 2.78% over the last week and +5.19% over the last six months, while maintaining strong performance in the face of a broad -19.84% decline over the prior year. The market has responded positively to Mondi’s robust Q1 2025 results, with underlying EBITDA reaching €290 million—up from €261 million in Q4 2024—and annual revenue for 2024 at €7.4 billion. The successful completion of the Schumacher acquisition as of April 2025 further expanded Mondi’s corrugated packaging footprint in Western Europe, generating significant synergies and positioning the company for enhanced resilience and growth. Sector-wide, the evolving consumer and regulatory focus on circular economy, ESG, and e-commerce demand has created an exceptionally favourable backdrop for advanced packaging and specialty papers—Mondi’s core strengths.

Technical analysis

Technical signals suggest Mondi is transitioning into a bullish phase, and current levels appear to present an attractive point of entry:

• The 14-day RSI stands at 61.56, reflecting sustained but not over-extended upward momentum, typically seen in equities entering a new trend.
• The MACD, at 8.99, provides a strong buy indication, confirming the presence of short-term upward price dynamics.
• All moving averages (5, 20, 50, 100, 200 days) are clustered in a narrow range just below or around the current price—each signalling a buy—which underscores a consolidation base and prospective breakout.
• The key technical support is at 1,235 GBp, with resistance defined at 1,250 GBp, suggesting minimal downside from current levels.
• The overall technical signal is rated “Strong Buy,” with multiple buy triggers visible on both short- and medium-term charts.

Such alignment of technical indicators and support levels often signifies a stock that is poised to enter a new bullish cycle, especially as market participants reposition for upcoming earnings and strategic milestones.

Fundamental analysis

Mondi’s foundations are exceptionally robust, with recent financials affirming a compelling investment case:

• Revenue growth: Mondi delivered a robust €7.4 billion in 2024 sales (and strong Q1 2025 trajectory), comfortably beating previous expectations and reflecting its growing market share across core packaging and paper verticals.
• Profitability: Underlying EBITDA stands at €1.0 billion (2024) and Q1 2025 posted a fresh sequential gain. Synergies from the recent Schumacher deal are expected to further bolster margins into 2026.
• Attractive valuation: The P/E ratio at 29.22 is justified by the company’s positioning in ESG and growth markets, while a dividend yield of 4.84% appeals to both growth and income-oriented investors.
• Strategic expansion: The Schumacher acquisition (closed April 2025) unlocks new reach in Western Europe’s corrugated packaging market, with €30 million of incremental EBITDA estimated for the first nine months alone.
• Structural strengths: Mondi’s vertical integration, consistent innovation (“Sustainable by Design” range), and a reputation for delivering quality, high-performance packaging set it apart as sector-defining.
• Resilient brand equity: Its leadership in the circular economy and reputation for environmental stewardship ensure that the brand continues to gain relevance among regulators and major FMCG clients.
• Analyst targets: Consensus price targets (1,469–1,609 GBp) imply further upside of up to 30%, reflecting bullish sentiment across the analytical community.

The strategic blend of operational scalability, ESG focus, and geographic diversification supports a platform for long-term compound growth.

Volume and liquidity

Mondi’s liquidity profile reinforces market conviction and supports dynamic valuation:

• Daily trading volume: An average of 1.11 million shares exchanged daily over the last three months ensures high liquidity and orderly price formation, even for substantial positions.
• Free float: With 440.54 million shares outstanding and wide market participation, Mondi’s float facilitates efficient trades for both institutional and retail investors.
• Market cap: At £5.45 billion, the company is large enough to attract the attention of global funds, but nimble enough to outpace slower-moving packaging peers.

Such a liquid environment allows for both rapid tactical entries and longer-term accumulations on supportive technical signals.

Catalysts and positive outlook

Several emerging developments signal a bright future for Mondi and offer the potential for outsized returns:

• Acquisition-driven value: The successful integration of Schumacher is expected to generate significant EBITDA contribution, margin expansion, and operational synergies.
• Innovation pipeline: Advanced sustainable products and the “Sustainable by Design” portfolio are expected to meet increasingly stringent EU and UK packaging regulations.
• ESG leadership: Mondi’s MAP2030 programme—focused on achieving carbon neutrality and enhancing circular packaging solutions—has been cited by analysts as a model for the sector.
• E-commerce tailwind: Growing global demand for high-quality, sustainable packaging stemming from the e-commerce boom continues to underpin solid, recurring revenue streams.
• New product launches: High-performance, lightweight, and fully recyclable packaging solutions continue to widen the addressable market, sustaining top-line momentum.
• Favourable analyst sentiment: 8 buy recommendations versus 4 hold and 0 sell reflect widespread confidence in management’s execution and the sectoral outlook.
• Shareholder returns: Ongoing healthy dividend distributions (4.84% yield) and a sustainable payout ratio make Mondi attractive to income investors as well.

Each catalyst serves to strengthen Mondi’s market leadership and growth trajectory—setting the stage for further upward revisions in both earnings and valuation multiples.

Investment strategies

Given current technical, fundamental, and macro conditions, several entry points and strategies emerge for investors considering Mondi:

Short-term entry:

• The stock’s proximity to critical support at 1,235 GBp offers appealing risk/reward for tactically minded investors.
• Immediate upside is forecast through the resistance area at 1,250 GBp, with potential for breakout trades driven by upcoming earnings or sector news.
• Strong technical buy signals present ideal conditions for an initial position, with stop-loss strategies easily structured due to liquidity.

Medium-term positioning:

• Monetising synergy realisations from Schumacher and forthcoming product launches could allow gains as the stock approaches the 1,469–1,609 GBp consensus range.
• Re-rating is possible as the market digests the proven operational integration and consistent annual revenue/EBITDA growth.
• New ESG regulations and e-commerce expansion position Mondi above sector averages for sales momentum, pointing to mid-term outperformance.

Long-term accumulation:

• Mondi’s commitment to ESG, innovation, and expansion into high-growth European packaging markets enables a platform for compounding shareholder value.
• The strong dividend yield, robust balance sheet, and ongoing operational efficiencies provide a stabilising element within diversified portfolios.
• Positioning at or near current support levels may prove strategic for those seeking exposure ahead of further regulatory and consumption tailwinds.

Investors may consider averaging into positions on pullbacks or reinforcing positions on confirmation of technical breakouts, with each time frame underpinned by fundamental and sectoral strengths.

Is it the right time to buy Mondi?

All evidence points toward Mondi standing at the threshold of a new phase of sector outperformance. The successful strategic acquisition of Schumacher, impressive volume and liquidity, commitment to ESG leadership, robust innovation pipeline, and clear technical buy signals together create a compelling blend for both tactical and long-term investors. Against a favourable sector and regulatory backdrop—with the added tailwind of e-commerce and sustainability themes—Mondi’s fundamentals justify renewed interest, and the stock seems poised to enter a new bullish phase.

With multiple upward catalysts visible on the horizon, a clear path for further value creation, and broad analyst endorsement, Mondi appears to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking quality, steady growth, and resilience in a transforming global packaging sector. The current market offers a rare chance to gain exposure before the next wave of sector expansion, and the conviction behind Mondi’s outlook has seldom been stronger.

How to buy Mondi stock in the UK?

Buying Mondi stock online is both easy and secure with a regulated UK broker. You can choose between buying actual shares (spot buying) or trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) for leveraged exposure to price movements. Both methods are designed for fast, protected access to Mondi shares. Below, we’ll show you how each works, before inviting you to compare brokers further down the page.

Cash buying

When you buy Mondi shares for cash, you become an actual shareholder, with all associated rights and dividends. UK brokers typically apply a fixed commission per order—generally between £5 and £10. For UK investors, Stamp Duty of 0.5% also applies.

Gain scenario

If the Mondi share price is £12.39, you can buy around 80 shares with a £1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around £5.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth £1,100.
Result: +£100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFDs allow you to trade Mondi shares without owning them, making it possible to use leverage (up to 5x for UK retail clients). With CFDs, you pay a spread and, if you hold positions overnight, financing charges apply. Leverage increases both potential gains and risks.

Gain scenario with CFD leverage

You open a CFD position on Mondi shares, with 5x leverage.
This gives you a market exposure of £5,000 for only £1,000 deposited.
If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: +£400 gain, on a bet of £1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Before investing, compare brokers’ fees, trading platforms, and investor protections to find the best fit for your needs. The right approach—cash shares or CFDs—depends on your investment objectives and risk appetite. For more details, don’t miss our broker comparison further down the page.

Our 7 tips for buying Mondi stock

The latest news about Mondi

Mondi shares climb 2.78% this week, underpinned by technical “Strong Buy” signals. Over the past seven days, Mondi’s share price advanced by 2.78% to 1,238.50 GBp, supported by a robust technical setup: the RSI (61.56), MACD (8.99), and all key moving averages now indicate buy. The stock is trading near the top of its daily range, reinforcing analyst optimism in the UK market.

The successful integration of Schumacher boosts Mondi’s presence in Western Europe and earnings outlook. The acquisition of Schumacher, finalised on 1 April 2025, significantly expands Mondi’s corrugated packaging portfolio in Europe. Early financial impacts are positive, with a projected €30 million EBITDA contribution in just nine months and immediate earnings per share accretion, which is expected to strengthen the group’s market standing in the UK.

Mondi secures positive analyst upgrades, including an Overweight from JPMorgan targeting £14.30. Recent market sentiment has turned bullish, highlighted by eight buy recommendations and no sells. JPMorgan’s upgrade to “Overweight” with a £14.30 price target signals renewed confidence in Mondi’s earnings recovery, business resilience, and relevance to the UK investment community.

Q1 results beat expectations, driven by strong underlying EBITDA growth and volume recovery. Mondi posted a Q1 2025 underlying EBITDA of €290 million, up from €261 million in the previous quarter, outperforming consensus despite softer average selling prices. Higher sales volumes underpin strong operational performance, a factor closely followed by City analysts.

Sustained demand in the UK for sustainable packaging and e-commerce solutions strengthens Mondi’s regional strategy. UK-centric growth drivers include leadership in “Sustainable by Design” packaging, proven performance in fresh food and heavy transport segments, and robust demand linked to e-commerce expansion. Initiatives under the MAP2030 plan—aimed at net zero and circular products—continue to position Mondi as a key ESG stock for British portfolios.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.