Should I buy Mondi stock in 2025?

Pauline Laurore
P. Laurore updated on 2 May 2025

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Mondi
4
hellosafe-logoScore

Is Mondi stock a buy right now?

Mondi plc, a prominent FTSE 100 company, currently trades at approximately 1,151.50 GBX per share, with recent average daily trading volumes exceeding 1.1 million shares. Positioned as a global leader in packaging and paper solutions, Mondi has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, reporting €7.42 billion for the last financial year despite operating margin pressures. Notably, the company completed its acquisition of Schumacher Packaging’s Western European assets in March 2025, a move expected to enhance its service capabilities and consolidate its position in sustainable packaging—a key trend shaping the basic materials sector. While technical indicators currently reflect some bearishness, market sentiment is stabilizing as analysts turn their focus to forthcoming trading updates and the company’s robust 5.27% dividend yield. This yield is especially attractive amid today’s uncertain economic backdrop. The consensus of over 32 national and international banks sets a target price of 1,497 GBX for Mondi shares, reflecting optimism around its long-term growth prospects and resilience. Given these factors, the current levels might be seen as a constructive entry point for investors seeking exposure to sustainability-driven growth in packaging.

  • Leading global market position with operations spanning Europe, Africa, and the Americas.
  • Strong commitment to sustainable packaging, aligned with regulatory and consumer demand trends.
  • Diversified revenue streams across three major business segments reduce sector risk.
  • Attractive 5.27% dividend yield, among the highest in the sector.
  • Recent strategic acquisitions support expansion and innovation in core markets.
  • Recent EBITDA margin pressure signals near-term profitability challenges.
  • Stock trades below key moving averages, indicating current technical weakness.
Table of Contents
  • What is Mondi?
  • How much is Mondi stock?
  • Our full analysis on Mondi </b>stock
  • How to buy Mondi stock in United Kingdom?
  • Our 7 tips for buying Mondi stock
  • The latest news about Mondi
  • FAQ
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Why trust HelloSafe?

At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring Mondi’s performance for more than three years. Each month, hundreds of thousands of users in the United Kingdom rely on us to provide clear market insights and identify the most promising investment opportunities. Our analyses are prepared for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, paid by Mondi.

What is Mondi?

IndicatorValueAnalysis
🏳️ NationalityUnited KingdomHeadquartered and domiciled in the UK, a FTSE 100 constituent.
💼 MarketLondon Stock Exchange (FTSE 100)Listed on the LSE, ensuring liquidity and strong market visibility.
🏛️ ISIN codeGB00BMWC6P49Unique identifier for Mondi stock; enables global trading and transparency.
👤 CEOAndrew KingCEO since 2020, providing experience and consistent leadership during key transitions.
🏢 Market cap£4.99 billionReflects mid-cap scale; significant, but below historical highs due to recent sell-off.
📈 Revenue€7.42 billion (TTM)Revenue up year-on-year, highlighting resilient sales despite industry headwinds.
💹 EBITDA€954 million (TTM)EBITDA has fallen, showing ongoing margin pressure and cost challenges.
📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings)27.42Elevated P/E signals premium pricing, but also concerns about declining earnings.
Key Mondi PLC financial and corporate indicators with their analysis.
🏳️ Nationality
Value
United Kingdom
Analysis
Headquartered and domiciled in the UK, a FTSE 100 constituent.
💼 Market
Value
London Stock Exchange (FTSE 100)
Analysis
Listed on the LSE, ensuring liquidity and strong market visibility.
🏛️ ISIN code
Value
GB00BMWC6P49
Analysis
Unique identifier for Mondi stock; enables global trading and transparency.
👤 CEO
Value
Andrew King
Analysis
CEO since 2020, providing experience and consistent leadership during key transitions.
🏢 Market cap
Value
£4.99 billion
Analysis
Reflects mid-cap scale; significant, but below historical highs due to recent sell-off.
📈 Revenue
Value
€7.42 billion (TTM)
Analysis
Revenue up year-on-year, highlighting resilient sales despite industry headwinds.
💹 EBITDA
Value
€954 million (TTM)
Analysis
EBITDA has fallen, showing ongoing margin pressure and cost challenges.
📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings)
Value
27.42
Analysis
Elevated P/E signals premium pricing, but also concerns about declining earnings.
Key Mondi PLC financial and corporate indicators with their analysis.

How much is Mondi stock?

The price of Mondi stock is rising this week. As of today, the share trades at 1,151.50 GBX, marking a 1.77% gain over the past 24 hours and a 0.55% increase this week.

Market capitalization£4.99 billion
3-month average trading volumeApproximately 1.78 million shares
P/E ratio27.42
Dividend yield5.27%
Beta0.73
Mondi stock key metrics
3-month average trading volume
£4.99 billion
Approximately 1.78 million shares
P/E ratio
£4.99 billion
27.42
Dividend yield
£4.99 billion
5.27%
Beta
£4.99 billion
0.73
Mondi stock key metrics

While recent gains offer some positive momentum, ongoing moderate volatility and sector challenges mean investors should monitor the upcoming results for further insights into Mondi’s performance.

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Our full analysis on Mondi stock

Having carefully reviewed Mondi plc’s most recent financial results alongside its share price trajectory over the past three years, our proprietary analytical framework—blending quantitative indicators, technical patterns, peer benchmarking, and sector dynamics—offers a fresh, data-driven perspective on the stock’s outlook. With the benefit of multi-source integration, we aim to highlight why Mondi’s current market positioning and strategic levers may be recalibrating it as a compelling entry point within the sustainable packaging and paper sector for 2025. So, why might Mondi stock once again become a strategic entry point into the European packaging arena as economic and ESG tailwinds converge?

Recent Performance and Market Context

After peaking at 1,618.00 GBX within the past year, Mondi plc (MNDI.L) has undergone significant correction, currently trading at 1,151.50 GBX as of 2 May 2025—a 25.9% decline year-on-year. The share price has, however, marked a 1.77% gain in the last 24 hours and a modest 0.55% rise over the recent week, suggesting incipient stabilisation as investors reassess the downside.

  • Dividend Resilience: With a forward annual dividend of 0.60 GBX and a yield of 5.27%, Mondi’s income attraction remains higher than many FTSE 100 peers.
  • Strategic Acquisition: The March 2025 completion of Western Europe Packaging Assets from Schumacher Packaging aligns with the company’s growth and integration roadmap, fortifying its European footprint and promising revenue accretion.
  • Sector Background: The ongoing transition towards circular economy principles and heightened demand for sustainable packaging—accelerated by consumer and regulatory pressures—continues to offer structural support to top-tier operators like Mondi, particularly as global FMCG and e-commerce sectors remain robust.

The broader macro backdrop also merits highlighting. Stabilising input costs, recent signs of easing inflation in developed markets, and ongoing consumer demand for responsibly sourced material inputs reinforce the thesis for sector outperformance as economies transition into expansionary phases through 2025.

Technical Analysis

Despite a technical structure that remains, for now, challenging, closer inspection of trend signals and momentum indicators reveals improving risk-reward dynamics:

  • Moving Averages: The stock is trading just below its 50-day (1,172.58 GBX) and 200-day (1,272.28 GBX) moving averages, both of which have acted as important resistance points. The proximity to these trendlines, coupled with the development of support near the 52-week low (973.80 GBX), suggests a possible basing phase is underway—often a precursor to reversal setups in value-oriented names.
  • Momentum Gauges: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 48.72, squarely in neutral territory. This neither overbought nor oversold signal highlights the absence of forced selling, and offers scope for upward reversion should new catalysts emerge.
  • MACD: While the 50-day MACD remains negative, the rate of decline has moderated, and several short-term crossovers have been observed, echoing technical exhaustion in the prevailing downtrend.
  • Volatility: The Average True Range (14-day) at 29.57 underlines moderate, but not excessive, price movement—creating fertile ground for buyers with an appetite for accumulating at value levels.

Crucially, the zone around 1,150–1,200 GBX has seen repeated volume surges over the past month, indicating strong underlying demand and a potential re-rating if investor confidence accelerates with forthcoming financial disclosures.

Fundamental Analysis

Bearish technicals belie a set of fundamentals that seem to justify renewed institutional and retail interest, particularly when stripped of short-term volatility:

  • Revenue Growth and Profitable Core: Revenues for the trailing twelve months reached €7.42 billion, a 6.6% YoY uplift, clearly outpacing sector averages despite a challenging cost environment. While underlying EBITDA compressed (€1.05 billion vs. €1.20 billion a year prior), the profit base remains robust and cash generative.
  • Attractive Valuation Metrics: Post-correction, Mondi trades at a price-to-book of just 1.21, and the EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.65 compares favourably to multinational packaging peers frequently trading in the 8–10 range. While the trailing P/E ratio of 27.4 is elevated, it reflects transient margin headwinds with scope for rapid normalisation upon cost rationalisation and post-acquisition synergies.
  • Dividend Commitment: A 5.27% yield, underpinned by a disciplined policy and a target dividend cover of 2–3x, ensures the stock remains a core holding for income-oriented portfolios—even as the payout ratio has temporarily spiked.
  • Strategic Strengths: Mondi’s competitive moats include a leadership position in sustainable and flexible packaging, deep customer relationships across geographies, and a diversified product mix that blunts the impact of cyclical swings. Its brand equity as a premium, eco-conscious supplier may become increasingly monetisable as ESG criteria drive procurement throughout global supply chains.

Volume and Liquidity

A closer investigation of Mondi’s trading dynamics reveals a liquid, institutionally supported share base:

  • Strong Trading Volume: Recent sessions have seen meaningful spikes in daily traded shares—mirroring news flow and providing evidence of market confidence and engagement from long-term holders.
  • Float and Market Cap: With a £4.99 billion market capitalisation and a well-dispersed institutional float, the stock is well placed for dynamic valuation shifts in response to positive surprise factors, while maintaining sufficient liquidity for both private and professional investors.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several bullish catalysts and tailwind factors merit close attention:

  • M&A Integration: The completed Schumacher Packaging assets acquisition positions Mondi at the forefront of consolidation-driven value creation, enhancing economies of scale in key Western European markets.
  • Quarterly Update: The upcoming Q1 2025 trading update (8 May 2025) will serve as a critical inflection point—management guidance, progress on cost discipline, and pro-forma revenue trajectories could significantly shift sentiment.
  • ESG Initiatives: Mondi’s ongoing innovation in biodegradable and recyclable materials stands to benefit from tightening regulatory requirements, particularly as the EU and UK push for plastic substitution.
  • Dividend Visibility: With the ex-dividend and payment dates already announced and yield sitting comfortably above the Healthier UK equity market average, ongoing distributions appear firmly on track barring unexpected shocks.
  • Sector Trends: As e-commerce growth accelerates and global retail shifts towards sustainable supply chains, premium packaging companies such as Mondi are well-placed to capture outsized wallet share—unique compared to commoditised paper competitors.

Importantly, analyst consensus targets imply ~25% upside from current levels, embedding recovery in margins and the crystallisation of recent strategic initiatives.

Investment Strategies

Mondi’s current risk-reward set-up and multi-temporal structure offer distinct entry windows for different investment profiles:

  • Short-Term Entry:
    • The approach of the 1,150 GBX support zone offers a technically defensible entry, particularly for those seeking to capture a rebound into the 50-day moving average.
    • The pre-Q1 earnings window is a classic period for tactical accumulation, with low historical volatility and the prospect of an upside surprise should margin commentary prove constructive.
  • Medium-Term Positioning:
    • Re-rating potential is strengthened as the recently completed M&A filters through to reported figures, with scope for upgrades to consensus estimates and valuation multiples should underlying cash generation improve sequentially.
    • Investors may wish to scale into positions on confirmation of continued technical stabilisation around the 1,130–1,180 GBX band.
  • Long-Term Conviction:
    • For ESG-aligned, income-seeking, or growth-oriented mandates, Mondi’s formidable global presence in sustainable packaging and the growing structural demand for circular solutions represent a rare combination of quality and yield.
    • The current valuation, considerably discounted both vs. historic average and vs. global packaging leaders, offers significant asymmetry in potential returns—especially as cyclical recovery unfolds and acquisition synergies materialise by late 2025 and beyond.

Is It the Right Time to Buy Mondi?

Synthesising recent price action, technical underpinnings, and Mondi’s resilient core strengths, the stock seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors positioned for mid- to long-term growth in the sustainable packaging sector. With an attractive dividend profile, solid balance sheet, integrated value chain advantages, and new M&A-driven revenue streams, the fundamentals justify renewed interest at prevailing levels—even as short-term volatility may persist.

Should the Q1 2025 trading update provide clarity on margin progression and operational leverage, a decisive bullish phase could commence, particularly with the stock trading at a substantial discount to sector multiples and consensus price targets. In this context, Mondi’s shares may be entering a new phase of valuation reset, with multiple triggers for recovery and outperformance against both its history and the wider market.

For UK-based investors seeking to combine ESG alignment, dividend strength, and the potential for capital appreciation, Mondi’s current market positioning may be one of the more compelling opportunities within the FTSE 100—a rare convergence of value, momentum, and underlying resilience as sector and macroeconomic dynamics turn more favourable. Now, more than ever, Mondi presents an opportunity worthy of close attention, supported by both its intrinsic strengths and a suite of catalysts poised to drive compelling value realisation over the coming quarters.

How to buy Mondi stock in United Kingdom?

Buying shares in Mondi plc (MNDI) is both straightforward and secure for UK investors, thanks to a range of regulated online brokers. You can choose between two main methods: purchasing shares outright (spot buying), where you own actual shares, or trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which allows you to speculate on price movements without owning the shares. Both approaches are accessible via regulated platforms, ensuring your investments are protected by UK financial regulations. To help you find the best offer for your investment needs, you’ll find a comprehensive broker comparison further down the page.

Spot buying

A spot or cash purchase involves buying Mondi shares directly through a reputable broker, making you a registered shareholder. This method is ideal for investors seeking long-term growth and dividend payments. When buying UK shares like Mondi, brokers typically charge a fixed commission per transaction, often between £5 and £10.

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Important example

Example: If Mondi’s share price is 1,151.50 GBX (or £11.52 per share), with a £1,000 investment (about $1,250), you can purchase approximately 86 shares, after accounting for a typical dealing fee of £5.
✔️ Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 10%, your investment would be worth £1,100.
Result: That’s a £100 gross gain, or +10% return on your initial stake.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading lets you speculate on Mondi's share price movements with leverage, without owning the underlying shares. This method is popular for active traders aiming to profit from both rising and falling prices. Fees include the “spread” (the broker’s margin built into buy/sell prices) and overnight financing charges if you keep positions open beyond a trading day.

icon

Important example

Example: With a £1,000 stake and 5x leverage, you can open a CFD position worth £5,000 on Mondi shares.
✔️ Gain scenario: If Mondi's share price increases by 8%, your position delivers 8% × 5 = 40% return.
Result: That’s a £400 gain on your £1,000 stake (excluding spreads and financing costs).

Final advice

Before you invest in Mondi, it’s essential to compare brokers on fees, trading conditions, and regulatory protections. Each broker differs in commission, spreads, and available features. Your choice between cash purchases and CFDs should align with your investment goals and risk appetite—long-term investors often prefer direct ownership, while more active traders may consider the flexibility of CFDs. Be sure to refer to our broker comparison further down the page to find the best option for your objectives.

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With eToro, you don't need to be an expert to get started. Its intuitive interface and unique tool, the CopyTrader, allow you to copy the best traders to learn while you invest.
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eToro is transparent about its fees: no commission on the purchase of shares or ETFs. Spreads vary depending on the asset, but remain very affordable.
Deposit is free, and withdrawal is set at $5. In the event that you remain inactive for 12 months or more, a fee of $10 per month applies.
Finally, the fees charged are also clearly mentioned on its website (we can't say the same for all competitors).

Who is eToro for?

eToro is mainly aimed at beginners and intermediates, thanks to its simplicity and its educational approach. If you want to diversify your portfolio or learn by observing the best traders, this platform is ideal.
Investors looking for a modern and intuitive experience will also find their account here, with a key argument: a real variety of assets (stocks, cryptocurrencies, ETFs).

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Our 7 tips for buying Mondi stock

📊 Step📝 Specific tip for Mondi
Analyze the marketAssess the paper and packaging sector’s current cycle and how sustainability trends could benefit Mondi’s growth prospects in the UK context.
Choose the right trading platformOpt for a UK-regulated broker that provides direct access to LSE stocks and competitive fees for FTSE 100 shares like Mondi.
Define your investment budgetDecide on an amount you are comfortable investing, bearing in mind Mondi’s recent share price volatility and sector cyclicality.
Choose a strategy (short or long term)Consider a long-term investment to benefit from Mondi’s strong dividend yield and sustainability focus, while monitoring for operational improvements.
Monitor news and financial resultsPay close attention to Mondi’s quarterly updates—especially the upcoming Q1 2025 trading update—and financial statements for signs of margin recovery.
Use risk management toolsImplement stop-loss orders and position sizing to manage downside risk, given the stock’s current bearish technical trend and sector headwinds.
Sell at the right timeLook to take profits if Mondi’s price approaches major resistance levels or if there are indications of sustained operational challenges.
Steps and specific tips for investing in Mondi.
Analyze the market
📝 Specific tip for Mondi
Assess the paper and packaging sector’s current cycle and how sustainability trends could benefit Mondi’s growth prospects in the UK context.
Choose the right trading platform
📝 Specific tip for Mondi
Opt for a UK-regulated broker that provides direct access to LSE stocks and competitive fees for FTSE 100 shares like Mondi.
Define your investment budget
📝 Specific tip for Mondi
Decide on an amount you are comfortable investing, bearing in mind Mondi’s recent share price volatility and sector cyclicality.
Choose a strategy (short or long term)
📝 Specific tip for Mondi
Consider a long-term investment to benefit from Mondi’s strong dividend yield and sustainability focus, while monitoring for operational improvements.
Monitor news and financial results
📝 Specific tip for Mondi
Pay close attention to Mondi’s quarterly updates—especially the upcoming Q1 2025 trading update—and financial statements for signs of margin recovery.
Use risk management tools
📝 Specific tip for Mondi
Implement stop-loss orders and position sizing to manage downside risk, given the stock’s current bearish technical trend and sector headwinds.
Sell at the right time
📝 Specific tip for Mondi
Look to take profits if Mondi’s price approaches major resistance levels or if there are indications of sustained operational challenges.
Steps and specific tips for investing in Mondi.

The latest news about Mondi

Mondi shares have rebounded modestly this week, gaining 0.55% amidst a generally stable LSE environment. This uptick comes as the FTSE 100 recovers from recent volatility, and Mondi’s stock price finished the week at 1,151.50 GBX, up 1.77% in the past 24 hours. While the shares remain below their key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a broadly bearish trend, the short-term momentum is somewhat encouraging. This positive movement precedes Mondi’s upcoming Q1 2025 trading update, a catalyst closely watched by UK analysts and investors.

Mondi will pay an attractive 5.27% dividend yield on May 16, 2025, reinforcing its appeal to income-seeking UK investors. The company’s forward annual dividend, set at 0.60 GBX per share with an ex-dividend date of April 3, 2025, stands out in the current UK market, where yield opportunities are comparatively limited. Mondi has reaffirmed its dividend policy targeting a cover of 2-3 times earnings over the cycle, a move likely to reassure shareholders regarding long-term income reliability despite recent profit pressures.

Analyst consensus points to material upside for Mondi shares, with a price target 25% above current levels. Based on the most recent professional surveys, the median analyst price target stands at approximately 1,434.52 GBX, indicating a significant potential appreciation from the current valuation. This optimism is rooted in Mondi’s strategic focus on sustainable packaging solutions, which are in growing demand in the UK due to heightened regulatory standards and corporate sustainability commitments.

Mondi’s financial results for 2024 show revenue growth of 6.6% year-on-year, defying industry headwinds. Despite a challenging macroeconomic backdrop for the basic materials sector and notable margin compression, Mondi increased its revenue to €7.42 billion versus €7.33 billion in the previous year. This performance was achieved largely through positive volume growth, even as underlying EBITDA declined due to reduced forestry fair value gains. The company’s ability to grow top-line figures in a difficult environment is a constructive signal for UK-focused investors evaluating resilience and operational execution.

The completion of the Schumacher Packaging acquisition in Western Europe in late March 2025 strengthens Mondi’s regional footprint and growth prospects. Following the finalization of this strategic transaction, Mondi is better positioned to serve its pan-European customer base from the UK, leveraging enhanced capabilities and scale. The move is expected to support both revenue growth and product portfolio diversification, factors likely to improve long-term shareholder value and reinforce Mondi’s relevance in the increasingly sustainability-driven UK and European packaging market.

FAQ

What is the latest dividend for Mondi stock?

Mondi currently pays a dividend, with the latest forward annual dividend set at 60 pence per share. The most recent ex-dividend date was April 3, 2025, and the payment date is scheduled for May 16, 2025. The dividend yield stands at an attractive level, and Mondi’s policy aims for a 2-3x dividend cover over the business cycle, giving investors a degree of income sustainability despite recent margin pressure.

What is the forecast for Mondi stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?

Based on the current share price of 1,151.5 GBX, projections are: 1,497 GBX for the end of 2025, 1,727 GBX for the end of 2026, and 2,303 GBX for the end of 2027. Mondi benefits from strong global positioning in sustainable packaging, and analyst consensus points to further upside as the sector shifts toward eco-friendly solutions.

Should I sell my Mondi shares?

Holding onto Mondi shares may be a prudent choice for investors looking for mid- to long-term value. The company has a robust international presence, an appealing dividend yield, and is strategically positioned to benefit from growing demand for sustainable packaging. While recent price performance has been weak, the fundamentals and sector outlook support the case for patience, especially for those seeking income and recovery potential.

Are Mondi shares eligible for an ISA in the UK, and how are dividends taxed?

Mondi shares are eligible to be held within a Stocks and Shares ISA for UK investors. Dividends and capital gains from ISAs are free from UK income tax and capital gains tax. For Mondi, which is UK-domiciled, there is no UK withholding tax on dividends, making ISAs an efficient way to receive income and potential gains tax-free.

What is the latest dividend for Mondi stock?

Mondi currently pays a dividend, with the latest forward annual dividend set at 60 pence per share. The most recent ex-dividend date was April 3, 2025, and the payment date is scheduled for May 16, 2025. The dividend yield stands at an attractive level, and Mondi’s policy aims for a 2-3x dividend cover over the business cycle, giving investors a degree of income sustainability despite recent margin pressure.

What is the forecast for Mondi stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?

Based on the current share price of 1,151.5 GBX, projections are: 1,497 GBX for the end of 2025, 1,727 GBX for the end of 2026, and 2,303 GBX for the end of 2027. Mondi benefits from strong global positioning in sustainable packaging, and analyst consensus points to further upside as the sector shifts toward eco-friendly solutions.

Should I sell my Mondi shares?

Holding onto Mondi shares may be a prudent choice for investors looking for mid- to long-term value. The company has a robust international presence, an appealing dividend yield, and is strategically positioned to benefit from growing demand for sustainable packaging. While recent price performance has been weak, the fundamentals and sector outlook support the case for patience, especially for those seeking income and recovery potential.

Are Mondi shares eligible for an ISA in the UK, and how are dividends taxed?

Mondi shares are eligible to be held within a Stocks and Shares ISA for UK investors. Dividends and capital gains from ISAs are free from UK income tax and capital gains tax. For Mondi, which is UK-domiciled, there is no UK withholding tax on dividends, making ISAs an efficient way to receive income and potential gains tax-free.

Pauline Laurore
P. Laurore
Finance expert
HelloSafe
Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.

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